Hedera Hashgraph (HBAR) has recently made headlines by surpassing Stellar (XLM) and Algorand (ALGO) in market capitalization, signaling a potential shift in investor confidence toward enterprise-grade blockchain solutions. The crypto lost its momentum and the price started drifting from its recent highs, $0.1900-and about 15%, 50% down from $0.4 in November last year.
According to fundamentals, HBAR could see a reversal very soon. One of the most striking features is that the supply of stablecoins on Hedera has risen considerably in recent days.
Hedera currently has $181.4 million in stablecoins held against $20 million during the same period last year. It has risen from $34 million as on January 1. Circle’s USD Coin USDC. USDC enjoys 99.5% market dominance on Hedera.
Thanks to this growth, Hedera is currently in terms of stablecoins beyond some popular layer-1 chains. Stellar, with $180 million, whereas Algorand Algorand,
Algorand, with $160 million, followed by Cronos Cronos with $141 million, and Polkadot Polkadot Polkadot with $102 million.
On Tuesday, Hedera Hashgraph token had been floundering with the waning industry sentiments in cryptocurrencies.
Increasing volume of stablecoins on any chain usually means a bullish signal, as it indicates that there is more user activity.
Another trigger for HBAR shall be the increased volume of decentralized exchanges. Defi Llama data shows weekly volume jumped 40% to $64.4 million, taking the cumulative total to $4.6 billion.
This also considered Hedera becoming a notable player in real-world assets tokenization. It recently released Asset Tokenization Studio to streamline tokenized bonds and stock issuances and management.
As of mid-2025, HBAR’s market cap has climbed above $4 billion, overtaking Stellar (~$3.8B) and Algorand (~$2.9B). This milestone comes amid the growing adoption of Hedera’s high-speed, low-fee network by major corporations and institutional players.
HBAR Long-Term Prediction
1. Why HBAR Replace Stellar and Algorand in Capitalization
A. Transaction Speed & Scalability
Hedera’s Hashgraph consensus engine allows it to secure 10,000+ transactions per second (TPS) with near-instant finality, in contrast to Stellar’s ~1,000 TPS and Algorand’s ~1,200 TPS. This efficiency has positioned HBAR as the go-to platform for enterprise blockchain deployments, including:
- Tokenization of RWAs
- Supply chain tracking
- Micropayments and DeFi applications
B. Enterprise Adoption & Governing Council
Compared to the majority of decentralized networks, Hedera has a 39-seat governing council. This includes members from Boeing, Deutsche Telekom, IBM, and Google. This is corporate backing present from the regulatory perspective and gives them institutional trust, which is lacking in the same ratio in Stellar and Algorand.
C. Staking Rewards & Tokenomics
- HBAR staking APY: ~6% (compared to Algorand’s ~4% and Stellar’s zero return).
- Fixed supply: 50 billion HBAR (with emission control), lower inflationary pressure than XLM and ALGO.
2. Most Relevant Metrics Driving Hedera Growth
A. Hyper-Active Network Activity
- Daily transactions: 10M+ (compared to Stellar’s 2M, Algorand’s 1M).
- Active accounts: More than 2.5 million, growing 30%+ every quarter.
- TVL in DeFi: $200M+, with protocols such as SaucerSwap and Pangolin.
B. Resilient Partnerships & Applications
- Samsung: Utilizing Hedera for NFT and digital identity offerings.
- Chainlink: Integrated for Oracle services on Hedera.
- Central Bank of Nigeria: CBDC tests on Hedera.
C. Fee Structure & Revenue Growth
Hedera’s fixed-in-USD but HBAR-paid fee structure offers predictability to businesses compared to Stellar and Algorand’s variable transaction fees.
3. Technical Outlook: HBAR Price Analysis
A. 1-3 Month Short-Term Price Action
Current Price: $0.28 (mid-2024).
Support Levels:
- $0.25 (strong demand zone).
- $0.20 (long-term trendline support).
- Resistance Levels:
- $0.30–$0.35 (make-or-break breakout zone).
- $0.50 (2021 all-time high).
RSI (Daily): 58 (neutral, with room to the upside).
MACD: Bullish crossover, indicating momentum.
B. Mid-Term Predictions (6–12 Months)
- Bullish Scenario:Breaking above $0.35 would put HBAR in the path towards $0.50–$0.75 if adoption continues in heavy doses.
- Bearish Scenario:A drop below $0.20 would signal a larger correction down to $0.15.
4. Bullish Triggers vs. Threats
A. Possible Upside Catalysts
✅ Enterprise Growth: Even more Fortune 500 adopting Hedera.
✅ ETF Speculation: If HBAR were included in a crypto ETF, demand could skyrocket.
✅ DeFi & RWA Growth: Increasing tokenization of assets on Hedera.
B. Key Risks to Watch
- Solana & Ethereum L2 Competition: Advent of alternative, lower-cost, and speedier solutions.
- Regulatory Risk:Uncertainty about SEC stance on enterprise tokens.
- Macro Effects: Altcoins like HBAR react to Bitcoin price swings.
5. Long-Term Prospects: Is HBAR Capable of Reaching $1?
Hedera’s fundamentals are well intact, and it was well-positioned in the enterprise blockchain space. With adoption gaining traction, hitting $1+ by 2025 was not impossible. But macro trends as well as competition would also weigh in.
Final Verdict
HBAR’s XLM and ALGO reversal to the upside is no hype pump—it is real-world adoption and utility. Investors must pay attention to:
- Transaction growth
- New corporate relationships
- D regulatory updates
If Hedera can maintain its pace, $0.50+ in 2024 is not out of the question. But a general crypto downtrend might see gains evasive.
Conclusion: Buy HBAR Now?
- For short-term traders: Short-term drops to $0.25 might be moments to buy.
- For long-term investors:To buy HBAR at sub-$0.30 prices is a good thing to do.
What’s Next for HBAR?
Will Hedera continue to outperform Algorand and Stellar? Or will competition quash it? Only time will be the judge, but the fundamentals are solid.
Need a deeper dive into Hedera’s staking mechanism or apples-to-apples comparison to Solana’s enterprise use cases? Let me know! ????
